Showing posts with label Summit County Colorado. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Summit County Colorado. Show all posts

Friday, November 22, 2019

The Question of a Recession

The Question of a Recession 

I often get asked if we are facing a recession.  And even if my clients don't use the word "Recession," they ask whether we can expect any price softening in the Summit County Real Estate Market.

While I don't have the crystal ball of what is going to happen in our market, I can tell you that in 4 of the last 5 recessions, the Denver market didn't see housing prices drop.  In fact, it was only the recession of 2007 where Denver saw a 16.3% decline in real estate pricing.  Summit County saw an 18% drop during that recession.  In all other recessions, the Denver market saw an INCREASE in housing appreciation.

We have since recovered the 2007 recession losses in Summit County and Denver and our values have exceeded the pre-recession highs.  

With ever increasing population growth in the Denver/Front Range area, the demand for mountain resort and second homes will remain high.  If you are interested in learning more about ski resort real estate in Summit County, please reach out!




Are We in a Recession?
If you have buyers who believe we are going through a recession, please inform them that it is NOT TRUE. If there is a natural recession, home prices would have started to decrease. In fact, CoreLogic found that homes all across the U.S. have appreciated in three of the last five recessions. We conducted the same research on Denver Homes and prices have appreciated in four of the last five recessions. What does this mean? Recession does NOT equate to a Housing Crisis!

Housing appreciation rates during recessions
Amy Nakos, JD, GRI, RSPS, CLHMS
970-389-8388
anakos@yourcastle,org
amynakos.com

Monday, December 11, 2017

3Q Summit County Real Estate Newsletter, Amy Nakos

Hi friends out there in cyber land!  If you are NOT on my newsletter mailing list, then you did not have the pleasure to read my 3Q edition.

Here it is!  AMY'S 3Q REAL ESTATE NEWSLETTER

Enjoy and please let me know if you would like to join my newsletter list

SIGN UP FOR AMY'S NEWSLETTER



Monday, November 7, 2016

Introducing My New Website

Hello friends - I've launched my new website.  You can find it at www.amynakos.com!

Enjoy and please feel free to reach out to me with any questions about Summit County Colorado Real Estate.

Amy Nakos


Tuesday, February 19, 2013

February Good Deals Link - and my 100th POST!


Celebrate - this is the 100th post on my blog! 

February 2013 Good Deals Below.  They are going fast so if you want to buy in Summit County Colorado, you are going to have to move quick.

February Good Deals!

Summit County Colorado Real Estate Statistics December 2012 and 2012 Year in Review


Real Estate Statistics

December 3rd best month in 2012.

2012 Dollar Volume up 42% over 2011.


While we have been seeing signs of improvement in the market, 2012 year end statistics prove that we are in a recovery.  Both dollar volume and number of transactions increased finishing off the year with the best numbers we have seen since 2008.

Frisco, CO
 

December 2012

In December there were 185 transactions up from November’s 154 transactions with $87.2 million in dollar volume over November’s 66.86 million in dollar volume.  For residential properties there were 149 closings with $75.64 million in dollar volume.  December proved to be the third best month in 2012 which is surprising since December is not historically a strong month.  This means that October and November saw more buyer activity than in previous years.

 

2012 Transactions

In 2012 there have been 1,624 transactions, with $772,913,600 of total volume. 2012 finished with the Average Residential Price at $512,592, Median Residential Price at $400,000 and Average price per square foot at $291.


 

2012 Appreciation

Snapshot values for the Average Prices were fairly even to last year.  Single Family properties increased by 4% and Multi-Family fell slightly at -4%. Vacant Land indicated a 26% increase.  In looking at Median pricing, the trends are similar with Single Family increasing by 6%, Multi- Family was actually up by 3% and Vacant Land was up 27%.  Because more lower priced multi-family units (condos) sold in 2012, the average price was pulled down even though it is not necessarily true that appreciation was down. 


Average prices from 2006 to 2012 are as follows:


Single Family Homes:

2006 - $737,253
2007 - $798,889
2008 - $835,803
2009 - $905,030
2010 - $770,797
2011 - $734,262
2012 - $764,455

Multi Family:

2006 - $333,501
2007 - $406,529
2008 - $463,633
2009 - $398,051
2010 - $425,080
2011 - $367,280
2012 - $353,339


Vacant Land:

2006 - $311,951
2007 - $391,587
2008 - $470,260
2009 - $399,025
2010 - $336,625
2011 - $246,478
2012 - $309,512


As of February 1, 2013, there are 1,015 active residential listings in Summit County, up only 2 from January.  The total dollar value of current inventory is $725.8M.  Inventory has remained steady and will jump again in May.  As of the same date there are 338 land listings.


With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 396; median days on the market is 245 – these numbers continue to creep up as inventory falls and no influx of new inventory comes on the market.


Our MLS is showing 157 residential properties currently Pending with a total dollar volume of $86.9M.  Pending sales are almost exactly the same as they were last month.

 

According to Summit County Assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land.  When looking at inventory for sale, 3.9% of residential properties are for sale and 13% of vacant land parcels are for sale.  Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory. 

 

Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market.  With 149 residential properties selling in December and inventory of 1,015, it will take around 6.8 months to sell the entire residential inventory.  We are closer than EVER to reaching the 6 month “par” number.  Once inventory drops below 6 months of inventory, it will become a seller’s market.

Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in December from 2004 to 2012:

December 2004   $135.6M
December 2005   $143.1M
December 2006   $156.8M
December 2007   $135.7M
December 2008   $61.0M
December 2009   $102.7M
December 2010   $70.1M
December 2011   $61.6M
December 2012   $87.2M


Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:

2004                            $1.12B
2005                            $1.47B
2006                            $1.63B
2007                            $1.63B
2008                            $1.06B
2009                            $683M
2010                            $698.4M
2011                            $684.2M
2012                            $772.9M (up 13% over 2011)

The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.

If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link: 

 


 

What does all of this mean to you?  


Buyers:  Our inventory is low now with only about 6 months of absorption.  In February 2010 Summit County had 30 months of absorption.  What was once a strong Buyer’s market is statistically turning into a Seller’s market.  Well price properties will move quickly.   If you would like more information, ask me for my Summit County Buyer’s Guide!

 

Sellers:  2013 might be your year. With the top selling properties under the $500,000 price point, you will be more likely to sell if you own in that price range.  In fact, for the last 3 years, the top selling price range is $200,000-$300,000.  Inventory is low now so if you have a property that can be competitive in the marketplace, consider listing it now instead of being buried in the spring influx of listings.  And as I have said many times before, market conditions are segmented by community and property type.  For a realistic analysis of your chances of selling, contact me directly for a customized report.

 

Thanks to Land Title for the great statistics!

Friday, January 18, 2013

Colorado Mountain Region Real Estate Report 2012


All Mountain 2012 Report

 
The Colorado Association of Realtors has compiled data for all the mountian regions.  Click Here for a link to the CAR Mountain Report.  The number of sold properties have increased and the number of listings have gone down.  These indicators are a precursor to a seller's market.  This report also shows that the trends happening in Summit County are happening in other mountain areas.

January 2013 Summit County Real Estate Statistics


Real Estate Statistics

Solid November numbers continuing recovery.

2012 exceeds 2011 without December numbers.




November proved to be a strong month in Summit County real estate even on the tail of October which was record breaking.  There were 154 total transactions with $66.86 million in dollar volume.  For residential properties there were 133 closings with $61.44 million in dollar volume.  Year over year, dollar volume increased by 14% and number of transactions increased by 8%.  A modest increase, but a continuation of a positive trend that has been happening since July where the statistics truly began to show a turnaround from the recession.

 

While dollar volume and number of transactions are increasing, median pricing remains fairly flat.  The Median Single Family YTD (from last month) indicates a 6% increase ($619,000 from $583,750 in 2011), The Median Price of Multi- Family YTD shows a 4% increase from 2011 ($317,550 from $305,000 in 2011) and Median residential Vacant Land continues to increase with a 32% increase ($230,250 from $175,000 in 2011).  The price of Breckenridge residential vacant land has really skyrocketed this year.



November’s strongest price point was the $200,000-$300,000 price range with 30 total sales.  In second is the $300,000 - $400,000 price point with 26 sales.  The price point under $200,000 came in third with 18 closings.  And in fourth and fifth were $400,000-$500,000 with 17 and $500,000-$600,000 with 14.  Only 6 properties over $1m sold in November.  Average prices from 2006 to 2011 are as follows; 2012 numbers are year to date averages through November 2012:


Single Family Homes:

2006 - $737,253
2007 - $798,889
2008 - $835,803
2009 - $905,030
2010 - $770,797
2011 - $734,262
2012 - $758,972

Multi Family:

2006 - $333,501
2007 - $406,529
2008 - $463,633
2009 - $398,051
2010 - $425,080
2011 - $367,280
2012 - $352,875


Vacant Land:

2006 - $311,951
2007 - $391,587
2008 - $470,260
2009 - $399,025
2010 - $336,625
2011 - $246,478
2012 - $316,556



As of January 15, 2013, there are 1,013 active residential listings in Summit County, down 98 from a month ago.  The total dollar value of current inventory is $708M.  Inventory will continue to drop until spring.  As of the same date there are 335 land listings.


With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 404; median days on the market is 239 – these numbers continue to creep up as inventory falls and no influx of new inventory comes on the market.


Our MLS is showing 145 residential properties currently Pending with a total dollar volume of $86M.  Pending sales are down from November and December.

 

According to Summit County assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land.  When looking at inventory for sale, 3.9% of residential properties are for sale and 13% of vacant land parcels are for sale.  Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory. 

 

Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market.  With 133 residential properties selling in November and inventory of 1,013, it will take around 7.6 months to sell the entire residential inventory.  We are closer than EVER to reaching the 6 month “par” number.  Once inventory drops below 6 months of inventory, it will become a seller’s market.

Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in November from 2004 to 2012:

November 2004   $116.3M
November 2005   $193.5M
November 2006   $138.2M
November 2007   $156.9M
November 2008   $58.0M
November 2009   $64.6M
November 2010   $60.1M
November 2011   $58.5M
November 2012   $66.8M


Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:

2004                            $1.12B
2005                            $1.47B
2006                            $1.63B
2007                            $1.63B
2008                            $1.06B
2009                            $683M
2010                            $698.4M
2011                            $684.2M

The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.

If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link: 


 

What does all of this mean to you?  



Buyers:  November numbers, which continue to show signs of improvement, show as an overall market we are climbing out of the bottom.  Price appreciation, while not noticeable yet, is showing signs in some sectors.  Absorption rate is hanging around 7 months which is very close to “par” for market conditions.  Vacant land costs have taken a jump and developers are building new product, feeling bullish that when their projects are done, demand will be in place to purchase the new units. As each day passes, you will see that prices will continue to increase and desirable, well priced product will be purchased quickly. 

Sellers:  2013 might be your year. With the top selling properties under the $500,000 price point, you will be more likely to sell if you own in that price range.  Inventory is low now so if you have a property that can be competitive in the marketplace, consider listing it now instead of being buried in the spring influx of listings.  And as I have said many times before, market conditions are segmented by community and property type.  For a realistic analysis of your chances of selling, contact me directly for a customized report.

 

Thanks to Land Title for the great statistics!

Thursday, December 6, 2012

Merry Statistics - Ho Ho Ho! Summit County Colorado Macro Statistics 1990 to 2012

As you might suspect, I am very often asked how the market is doing. I provide these monthly reports to keep my clients up to date on real estate market trends in Summit County, but I can imagine that actually digesting the information each month is a bit much to remember. So this month, I'm providing more macro information so you can see longer term trends.


Last month, the owner of Your Castle Real Estate, Lon Welsh, a number cruncher and chart maker extraordinaire, used Summit County MLS data to analyze the trends we are seeing in the market. I'm excited to be able to provde them to you this month!


The takeaway from the market trends is that sales volume is down around 65% from the height in 2007 and average prices are down around 16%, more in some markets. The recovery is underway as prices stabilize and sales increase.


Merry Statistics!
 
 

Summit County Colorado Real Estate Statistics December 2012


Real Estate Statistics
 
 

Holy October!

Dollar volume up 54% and number of transactions up 43% from 2011.


October was the most positive month that Summit County has seen in quite some time! There were 230 total transactions with $104,706,100 in gross volume. This is the best month with transaction numbers since April 2007 and a better gross volume since September 2008. October showed solid volume from mostly residential sales. There were no HUGE sales that put Summit County in this place that would have skewed the figures this month. September 2012 had a total of 124 residential transactions with dollar volume at $77.6M and October’s residential volume was $93.1M with 190 transactions.  October dollar volume was almost 20% more than September.

 

While dollar volume and number of transactions are increasing, median pricing remains fairly flat.  The Median Single Family YTD indicates a 6% increase ( $619,000 from $583,750 in 2011), The Median Price of Multi- Family YTD shows a 4% increase from 2011 ($317,550 from $305,000 in 2011) and Median residential Vacant Land continues to increase with a 32% increase ($230,250 from $175,000 in 2011).  The price of Breckenridge residential vacant land has really skyrocketed this year.


October really kicked up the numbers for YTD 2012. YTD 2012, gross volume is now up 10% from YTD 2011. Gross monetary volume is up October 2012 by 54% from October 2011.  Number of transactions YTD 2012 vs. YTD 2011 are up by 10%. Number of transactions in October 2012 are up 43% vs. October 2011.

 

October’s strongest price point was the $200,000-$300,000 price range with 41 total sales.  The price point under $200,000 came in with 32 closings, $300,00-$400,000 had 31 closings, $400,000-$500,000 had 23 closings,  $500,000-$600,000 had 15 closings and $600,000-$700,000 had 14 closings. Average prices from 2006 to 2011 are as follows; 2012 numbers are year to date averages through October 2012:


Single Family Homes:

2006 - $737,253
2007 - $798,889
2008 - $835,803
2009 - $905,030
2010 - $770,797
2011 - $734,262
2012 - $765,769

Multi Family:

2006 - $333,501
2007 - $406,529
2008 - $463,633
2009 - $398,051
2010 - $425,080
2011 - $367,280
2012 - $352,392


Vacant Land:

2006 - $311,951
2007 - $391,587
2008 - $470,260
2009 - $399,025
2010 - $336,625
2011 - $246,478
2012 - $317,000


As of November 30, 2012, there are 1,111 active residential listings in Summit County, down 66 from October.  The total dollar value of current inventory is $793M.  With the winter rental season upon us, Sellers who didn’t sell are putting their properties into rental pools.  As of the same date there are 383 land listings.


With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 405; median days on the market is 237 – these numbers continue to creep up as inventory falls and no influx of new inventory comes on the market.


Our MLS is showing 198 residential properties currently Pending with a total dollar volume of $104M.  Pending sales are up slightly from the beginning of this month which should indicate strong November and December numbers.

 

According to Summit County assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land.  When looking at inventory for sale, 4.3% of residential properties are for sale and 14.9% of vacant land parcels are for sale.  Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory. 

 

Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market.  With 190 residential properties selling in October and inventory of 1,111, it will take around 5.84 months to sell the entire residential inventory.  This is the first time in YEARS that inventory has been at or around the 6 month mark – another sign of an improving real estate market.

 

Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in October from 2004 to 2012:

October 2004   $117.4M
October 2005   $152.6M
October 2006   $188.7M
October 2007   $146.5M
October 2008   $118.2M
October 2009   $92.7M
October 2010   $79.7M
October 2011   $67.8M
October 2012   $104.7M


Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:

2004                            $1.12B
2005                            $1.47B
2006                            $1.63B
2007                            $1.63B
2008                            $1.06B
2009                            $683M
2010                            $698.4M
2011                            $684.2M

The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.

 

Foreclosure actions are still dropping with only 26 actions filed in October, compared to 46 last October, a decrease of 43.47%.  Public Trustees deeds are being issued on about 41% of the NED filings on the year to date.  There have been 151 Public Trustees Deeds issued so far in 2012.   Of these, only 62 were for real property, the remaining 89 were for Timeshare units.


If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link: 


 

What does all of this mean to you?  


Buyers:  October numbers have proven that we are out of the bottom.  Price appreciation, while not noticeable yet, is showing signs in some sectors.  Absorption rate is below 6 months for the first time in years.  Vacant land costs have taken a jump and developers are building new product, feeling bullish that when their projects are done, demand will be in place to purchase the new units. As each day passes, you will see that prices will continue to increase and desirable, well priced product will be purchased quickly. 

Sellers:  I will repeat what I said last month:  Certain market segments are moving quickly and others are still stagnant.  If you purchased at the height, don’t expect to recoup your costs anytime soon.  If, however, you have been thinking about selling for some time, there is a chance that your property might be able to bring you a return.  If you can wait it out, improvements are happening and our market is on its way to a recovery.
 
Want more information?  anakos@yourcastle.org; 970-389-8388

 

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

November 2012 Summit County Colorado Good Deals

The good deals are disappearing.  For many months now I have been featuring good deals by pulling out of our MLS those listings that are bank owned, foreclosures, REO, short sales, along with those that have motivated sellers and say "bring all offers."  In the past I would have as many 75 properties in the search.  This month, there are 14.  While there still are good deals to pick up, it's like being 2 hours late to the Filene's Basement Annual Bridal Sale.  What's left are the ugly dresses or those that need a lot of work.

Click on the link below to see the good deals!

RES - Client Detail Report

www.123rf.com - photo credit.

Summit County Colorado Real Estate Market Statistics - November 2012


Real Estate Statistics
September 2012 best month of 2012.
Vacant land average price increase; higher priced residential sales increase.

August 2012 had a total of 129 residential improved transactions, with a total dollar volume of $61 million up from July’s 99 transactions and $51.7 million in dollar volume.  September 2012 had a total of 124 residential transactions with dollar volume at $77.6.  While there were less transactions in September than in August, the dollar volume was up $16M or a 27% increase.   
Dollar volume for all types of property was $68.8M in August, up from July’s $63.1M. August 2012 total dollar volume was up 4% from August 2011 dollar volume which came in at $65.9M – a steady increase, divergent from July’s increase of 77% over the previous year.  August’s total number of transactions came in at 159, up 33 from July’s 126.  September’s total for all real estate was $88.1M with a total of 158 transactions. September dollar volume year over year increased by 10% while the number of transactions year over year went down by 1 transaction, indicating that the average price for property sales are increasing.
October 2012 residential sales from our MLS indicate 135 residential properties sold with dollar volume at $73.3 million – a nice jump from June and July.  Most of the August closings fall within the $100K-$600K price range.
August’s strongest price point was the $200,000-$300,000 price range with 28 total sales.  The $400,000-$500,000 price point came in second with 21 sales and the $300,000-$400,000 price point had 20 sales.  With more higher priced properties closing, the $500,000-$600,000 price point closed August with 17 sales. 
September showed an interesting trend of 11 properties closing in the $1.0-$1.5M price range.  As usual, the leaders in sales volume was the $200,000-$300,000 price point at 24 sales, the $300,000-$400,000 price point at 21 sales, under $200,000 at 14 sales and the $600,000-$700,000 price point at 13 sales. 
Average prices from 2006 to 2011 are as follows; 2012 numbers are year to date averages through September 2012:

Single Family Homes:

2006 - $737,253
2007 - $798,889
2008 - $835,803
2009 - $905,030
2010 - $770,797
2011 - $734,262
2012 - $758,340

Multi Family:

2006 - $333,501
2007 - $406,529
2008 - $463,633
2009 - $398,051
2010 - $425,080
2011 - $367,280
2012 - $360,718

Vacant Land:

2006 - $311,951
2007 - $391,587
2008 - $470,260
2009 - $399,025
2010 - $336,625
2011 - $246,478
2012 - $314,185

As of November 7, 2012, there are 1,177 active residential listings in Summit County, down 330 from September.  The total dollar value of current inventory is $823M.  With the winter rental season upon us, Sellers who didn’t sell are putting their properties into rental pools.  As of the same date there are 400 land listings.

With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 397; median days on the market is 230 – these numbers jumped from September given the fact that many properties were taken off the market.

Our MLS is showing 212 residential properties currently Pending with a total dollar volume of $98.9M. 

According to Summit County assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land.  When looking at inventory for sale, 4.5% of residential properties are for sale and 15.6% of vacant land parcels are for sale.  Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory. 

Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market.  With 124 residential properties selling in September and inventory of 1,177, it will take around 9.49 months to sell the entire residential inventory. 

Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in September from 2004 to 2012:

September 2004   $116.1M
September 2005   $161.3M
September 2006   $219.9M
September 2007   $168.7M
September 2008   $127.1M
September 2009   $81.0M
September 2010   $78.2M
September 2011   $79.8M
September 2012   $88.1M

Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:

2004                            $1.12B
2005                            $1.47B
2006                            $1.63B
2007                            $1.63B
2008                            $1.06B
2009                            $683M
2010                            $698.4M
2011                            $684.2M

The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.
If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link: 


What does all of this mean to you?  

Buyers:  Higher priced inventory is moving through the sales process as lower priced inventory continues to disappear.  Vacant land costs have taken a jump and developers are building new product, feeling bullish that when their projects are done, demand will be in place to purchase the new units. As each day passes, you will see that prices will continue to increase and desirable, well priced product will be purchased quickly. 
Sellers:  Certain market segments are moving quickly and others are still stagnant.  If you purchased at the height, don’t expect to recoup your costs anytime soon.  If, however, you have been thinking about selling for some time, there is a chance that your property might be able to bring you a return.

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Summit County Real Estate Market - Slow and Steady Stabilization


Slow and Steady Stabilization

The aspens are changing color and the summer has come to an end.  Sure signs are that football season is here, the smell of burning wood is in the air, and my warm weather-loving dog doesn't want to go outside in the morning because it's cold. 

This spring, I noted that Summer 2012 would tell the story of whether the Summit County real estate market was in a recovery.  July numbers showed signs of improvement with July 2012 increasing 77% in dollar volume over July 2011.  August closings as shown in MLS will prove to increase over July.  It appears that our market is in a stabilization stage and that improvements are happening slowly.  For a Summit Daily news article discussing the current valuations of the Summit County real estate market according to the county assessor, click hereIf you are looking to get in on sale pricing for Summit County real estate, there aren't many more clearance sales. 

And as I mentioned last month, good deals, featuring bank owned, short sales, and motivated sellers, continue to shrink every month, indicating that our distressed inventory is whittling away.  I recall at one time having over 50 properties in the mix, but in September we are down to 26.  Once distressed properties are cleared out of the market, we will begin to see a recovery of market priced properties.


Good Deals September 2012 - Summit County Colorado Real Estate


September good deals feature Bank Owned, REO, Foreclosures and Short Sales along with Motivated Sellers!   If you are looking for a great deal in Summit County, start here!

As I mentioned above, the good deal list is SHRINKING!!!!  Act now or forever hold your peace.



RES - Client Detail Report



Summit County Colorado Real Estate Statistics September 2012




Real Estate Statistics

July 2012 dollar volume increases 77% from July 2011.
Pending Properties increase to over $150M.

July 2012 had a total of 99 residential improved transactions, with a total dollar volume of $51.7 million up from June’s 85 transactions and $47.5 million in dollar volume. 
Dollar volume for all types of property was $63.1M in July, up from June’s $52.1M – an increase of 21.1%. July 2012 total dollar volume was up 77% from July 2011 dollar volume which came in at $35.5M.  July’s total number of transactions came in at 126, up 17 from June’s 109. 
August 2012 residential sales from our MLS indicate 135 residential properties sold with dollar volume at $73.3 million – a nice jump from June and July.  Most of the August closings fall within the $100K-$600K price range.
July’s strongest price point was the $200,000-$300,000 price range with 21 total sales.  The $300,000-$400,000 price point had 15 sales, and the under $200,000, $400,000-$500,000, and $500,000-$600,000 price points all had 12 sales.. 
Average prices from 2006 to 2011 are as follows; 2012 numbers are year to date averages through June 2012:

Single Family Homes:

2006 - $737,253
2007 - $798,889
2008 - $835,803
2009 - $905,030
2010 - $770,797
2011 - $734,262
2012 - $720,254

Multi Family:

2006 - $333,501
2007 - $406,529
2008 - $463,633
2009 - $398,051
2010 - $425,080
2011 - $367,280
2012 - $364,389

Vacant Land:

2006 - $311,951
2007 - $391,587
2008 - $470,260
2009 - $399,025
2010 - $336,625
2011 - $246,478
2012 - $291,947

As of September 10, 2012, there are 1,507 active residential listings in Summit County, down 65 from August.  The total dollar value of current inventory is $1.002 billion.  Inventory and dollar volume decreased slightly and will continue to decrease as the winter season approaches.  As of the same date there are 432 land listings, down 4 from last month.

With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 368; median days on the market is 211 – these numbers dropped slightly from last month.

Our MLS is showing 259 residential properties currently Pending, up 30 from 229 last month, with a total dollar volume of $152.3 million, up from $129.2 million.  As can be expected, pending properties at the end of the summer selling season have increased.

According to Summit County assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land.  When looking at inventory for sale, 5.8% of residential properties are for sale and 16.8% of vacant land parcels are for sale.  Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory. 

Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market.  With 99 residential properties selling in July and inventory of 1,507, it will take around 15.2 months to sell the entire residential inventory. 

Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in July from 2004 to 2012:

July 2004   $89.3M
July 2005   $122.0M
July 2006   $122.1M
July 2007   $138.3M
July 2008   $80.6M
July 2009   $47.4M
July 2010   $38.6M
July 2011   $35.6M
July 2012   $63.0M

Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:

2004                            $1.12B
2005                            $1.47B
2006                            $1.63B
2007                            $1.63B
2008                            $1.06B
2009                            $683M
2010                            $698.4M
2011                            $684.2M

The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.
If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link: 

What does all of this mean to you?  

Buyers:  Have you missed the summer buyer season?  There is still time in September to take advantage of properties on the market before the winter rental season approaches and sellers take their properties off the market.  We have seen an uptick in sold properties in July, and pending properties as of early September.  This summer has seen some improvements since the recession and if the trend continues, the winter months will hold strong with steadily increasing sales.  This summer may be the last summer to take advantage of the softening market created by the recession.
In this article, I have provided an expert’s analysis of the Denver metro market from Charles Roberts, managing broker of Your Castle Real Estate in Denver. Your Castle Real Estate conducts extensive statistical market research in the Denver market and provides timely analysis on the Denver metro marketplace. Understanding that the Summit County resort market historically lags behind the Denver market by 12-18 months, and with the Denver market being “red hot,” it may be the right time to consider purchasing a Summit County property.  Next summer you might be said, “Shoulda, coulda, woulda.” 

Sellers:  I just got off the phone with a broker whom I respect and enjoy speaking with and she said the funniest thing:  “Good sellers make good sellers because they want to be good bye-ers.”  I could not have said it better myself!  Today I saw a new listing come across my desk and two years ago it was listed for $339,000 and today it came on the market for $249,000.  That’s right, a decrease of $90,000 or almost 27%.  If you are a seller who wants to be a good bye-er, you need to have the same mindset.  We are seeing more transactions taking place, but we still have over 15 months of inventory, which means your property has a one in 15 chance of selling each month.  If you can wait it out, and don’t need to be a good-bye-er, trends indicate that the market is improving, and you may be able to get a higher price for your property next summer.  As always, I continue to see beautifully remodeled properties, that aren’t inflated too radically because of the remodel, sell first.  Buyers don’t want a project when they are buying their second home – they want to move in, and head to the slopes.
As always, thank you to Land Title Guaranty Company and Brooke Roberts for these amazing statistics!  www.ltgc.com.



Monday, August 13, 2012

Summit County Colorado Real Estate Statistics - August 2012

Real Estate Statistics




June numbers drop back to April levels.

Pending properties increase by 40% over last month.



June 2012 had a total of 85 residential improved transactions, with a total dollar volume of $47.5 million.

Dollar volume for all types of property was $52.1M in June, down from May’s $68.5M – a decrease of 24% month over month. June 2012 total dollar volume was off by 21% from June 2011 which was $65.7M. May’s increase over April of 22% in dollar volume was effectively wiped out with June’s decrease of 24%. Number of transactions also dropped from 108 to 85, a decrease of 21%.

July 2012 residential sales from our MLS indicate 96 residential properties sold with dollar volume at $46.9 million – very similar to the MLS report from June. Expect official July numbers to be very similar to June’s numbers above. Out of the 96 properties sold, 52 were priced under $400,000.

June’s strongest price point was the $200,000-$300,000 price range with 16 total sales. The $300,000-$400,000 price point had 14 sales and the $400,000-$500,000 and the $600,000-$700,000 sectors both had 10 sales. Under $200,000 had 9 sales and $500,000-$600,000 had 7 sales. This month saw a return back to the popularity of the lower price points.

Average prices from 2006 to 2011 are as follows; 2012 numbers are year to date averages through June 2012:



Single Family Homes:



2006 - $737,253

2007 - $798,889

2008 - $835,803

2009 - $905,030

2010 - $770,797

2011 - $734,262

2012 - $715,457



Multi Family:



2006 - $333,501

2007 - $406,529

2008 - $463,633

2009 - $398,051

2010 - $425,080

2011 - $367,280

2012 - $366,838



Vacant Land:



2006 - $311,951

2007 - $391,587

2008 - $470,260

2009 - $399,025

2010 - $336,625

2011 - $246,478

2012 - $283,283



As of August 10, 2012, there are 1,572 active residential listings in Summit County, up 32 from early July. The total dollar value of current inventory is $1.062 billion. Both listing inventory and dollar volume remain stable from July to August. This is the second month in 2012 that inventory has reached the billion dollar mark. As of the same date there are 436 land listings, up 21 from last month.



With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 375; median days on the market is 229 – again, the numbers remain steady from last month.



Our MLS is showing 229 residential properties currently Pending, up from 188 last month, with a total dollar volume of $129.2 million. This is an increase from July’s $92.25 million of 40%.



Year to date (YTD) Gross Volume is down 7% from YTD 2011. We are pacing above 2009 and comparable to 2010’s dollar volume at 6 months into 2012. Transactions are up YTD 3% from 2011 and are the highest since 2008 with 612 transactions.





According to Summit County assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land. When looking at inventory for sale, 6.1% of residential properties are for sale and 17% of vacant land parcels are for sale. Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory.



Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market. With 85 residential properties selling in June and inventory of 1,572, it will take around 18.5 months to sell the entire residential inventory.



Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in June from 2004 to 2012:



June 2004 $111.7M

June 2005 $112.2M

June 2006 $162.7M

June 2007 $141.8M

June 2008 $92.5M

June 2009 $34.0M

June 2010 $83.8M

June 2011 $65.7M

June 2012 $52.1M



Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:



2004 $1.12B

2005 $1.47B

2006 $1.63B

2007 $1.63B

2008 $1.06B

2009 $683M

2010 $698.4M

2011 $684.2M



The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.

If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link:

http://www.ltgc.com/files/breckenridge-marketstats/JUNE2012SUMMIT.pdf

What does all of this mean to you?



Last month I reported a strong May but June brought us back to April’s numbers. Pending sales in the MLS for August were up 40% so we can expect to see some increases in dollar volume and transactions and the end of the summer approaches and summer sales begin to close.



I am seeing well priced properties under the $400,000 mark, with at least two bedrooms (and a garage is helpful), moving better than others. The best properties under $250,000 sell within days, not months.



Buyers: If you are looking to buy, it is still a good time to take advantage of the price softening resulting from the recession; however, time is running out to grab these good deals. As I mentioned in the opening paragraph, the number of good deals (bank owned, foreclosure, short sales), are lessening, indicating that distressed properties are being sold leaving only market rate properties available to purchase. Second, prices are stabilizing, proven by the Summit County Assessor’s statistics. Click here for an article re: Summit County Real Estate Price Stabilization. Prices from July 1, 2010 to June 30, 2012 decreased by 5%. Previously, prices from July 1, 2009 to June 30, 2011 decreased 16% and prices from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2009 decreased 26%.



Sellers: If you are a seller, you still must be competitive in your pricing and condition. While pricing is stabilizing, it isn’t increasing yet. If you are pegging your value based upon 2007 pricing, then as you can see, your value has declined an average of 37% from 2007 to 2011 with even a slight decline from 2011 to 2012. While each property type is different and some have suffered greater depreciation than others, a realistic outlook of your sale price and where your property sits in the marketplace, will be the key to being the next property sold. Absorption is 18.5 months for June so if your property is on the market, you have a one in 18.5 chance of selling each month.



As always, thank you to Land Title Guaranty Company and Brooke Roberts for these amazing statistics! www.ltgc.com.



Monday, July 2, 2012

Summit County Colorado Real Estate Good Deals - July 2012

We all love good deals don't we?  For this month's good deals featuring short sales, foreclosures, and motivated sellers, click here:  July 2012 Good Deals - Summit County Real Estate.


compliments of http://www.prosperityforlife.net/

Amy Nakos, JD, GRI
Your Castle Summit, LLC
anakos@yourcastle.org
970-389-8388

Summit County Colorado Real Estate Market Report - July 2012



May 2012 best month of 2012 so far!


Vacant land making a comeback.

Compliments of bighornrentals.com

May 2012 had a total of 108 residential improved transactions, with a total dollar volume of $50.6 million.

Dollar volume for all types of property was $68.5M in May, up from April’s $52.7M. The month of May 2012 indicated a large increase from May 2011 with dollar volume up 22% (May 2011: $56,1M v. May 2012: $68,5M). Transactions in May 2012 were up 25% from May 2011 (May 2011: 107 v May 2012: 134).

June 2012 residential sales from our MLS indicate 90 residential properties sold with dollar volume at $45.9 million.

May’s strongest price point was the $400,000-$500,000 with 25 total sales which shows a marked change from previous months in 2012. Usually lower price points have the most volume. Other price points were $300-400K with 19 sales and under $200,000 with 16 sales.

Average prices from 2006 to 2011 are as follows; 2012 numbers are year to date averages through May 2012:

Single Family Homes:

2006 - $737,253

2007 - $798,889

2008 - $835,803

2009 - $905,030

2010 - $770,797

2011 - $734,262

2012 - $702,783



Multi Family:
2006 - $333,501

2007 - $406,529

2008 - $463,633

2009 - $398,051

2010 - $425,080

2011 - $367,280

2012 - $358,389
Vacant Land:

2006 - $311,951

2007 - $391,587

2008 - $470,260

2009 - $399,025

2010 - $336,625

2011 - $246,478

2012 - $282,593

As of July 2, 2012, there are 1,540 active residential listings in Summit County. The number continues to increase slowly as we approach mid summer. The total dollar value of current inventory is $1.056 billion. This is the first time in 2012 that inventory has reached the billion dollar mark. As of the same date there are 415 land listings, up 14 from last month.

We are seeing vacant land picking up with an average value increase of 15% and a median increase of 28% so far in 2012, over the year 2011. Signs of a vacant land recovery mean that the overall market is improving as people are ready and willing to build new construction.

With respect to residential listings, average days on the market is 373; median days on the market is 246.

Our MLS is showing 188 residential properties currently Pending with a total dollar volume of $92.25 million. Pending properties remain steady from last month.

According to Summit County assessor data there are 25,660 residential properties and 2,564 pieces of vacant land. When looking at inventory for sale, 6% of residential properties are for sale and 16% of vacant land parcels are for sale. Industry experts say that a healthy market has less than 10% inventory.


Industry experts also say that more than 6 months of inventory is a sign of a weak or “buyers” market. With 108 residential properties selling in May and inventory of 1,540, it will take around 14.2 months to sell the entire residential inventory.


Below are the total dollar amounts of sales in March and April from 2004 to 2012:

May 2004 $88.2M

May 2005 $104.8M

May 2006 $137.1M

May 2007 $158.7M

May 2008 $95.7M

May 2009 $63.7M

May 2010 $63.0M

May 2011 $56.2M

May 2012 $68.5M (up 22% from 2011)


Total Dollar Volume for 2004-2011 is as follows:


2004 $1.12B

2005 $1.47B

2006 $1.63B

2007 $1.63B

2008 $1.06B

2009 $683M

2010 $698.4M

2011 $684.2M

The year 2006 had the most dollar volume totaling $1,637,874,800.

If you would like to see the statistics from Land Title that provides the source for this newsletter, here is a link:

http://www.ltgc.com/files/breckenridge-marketstats/MAY2012SUMMIT.pdf



What does all of this mean to you?



May has proven to be the best month so far in 2012 for dollar volume and number of transactions. With closings being 30-45 days from contract, this would mean that March and April were strong months for contracts which show signs of improvement for our real estate market.

With early season activity as proven by strong May numbers, it appears that summer is going to be an improvement since the recession. If you are interested in buying, we seem to climbing out of the bottom so it is a good time to take advantage of current pricing before demand brings prices up. If you are a seller, you will still need to be priced competitively within other inventory because buyers are sophisticated and educated and we still have an absorption time of around 14-15 months. That means that your property has a one in fifteen chance of selling each month.

As always, thank you to Land Title Guaranty Company and Brooke Roberts for these amazing statistics! http://www.ltgc.com/.

For more information on Summit County Colorado Real Estate and Market Conditions, or for specialized reports, please contact Amy Nakos, JD, GRI, anakos@yourcastle.org, 970-389-8388.